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  CNS and Surayud: inconvenient marriage

On April 4 2007

CNS and Surayud: inconvenient marriage

 

When Gen Surayud Chulanont was approached by the CNS to become Thailand's prime minister seven months ago, he failed to foresee that in the future the CNS would become his nemesis. Last week, when the CNS urged the government to declare and use an emergency law in the Metropolitan area, it expected a full compliance from Surayud. But as it turned out, it was on the contrary. Instead, the government rejected the idea and at the same time announced the election date, either on 16 or 23 of December. Surayud scored ten, but the CNS got nil.r From that moment on the marriage of convenience between CNS and government has become problematic.

 

For the remaining months one can expect both the CNS and government to pursue two different distinctive paths. The CNS will pay more attention on the constitutional drafting process to ensure that a compromised charter has been completed. The government will zero in on winning the mass' hearts and minds. After all, populist projects still remain intact since the downfall of Thaksin Shinawatra. More money is expected to pour into rural areas with many giveaways.

 

Whenever political uncertainties reach the highest crescendo, coup rumors quickly appeared as if to remind the public that the military will continue to intervene. That would not be the case in the foreseeable future. The army top brass and colonels are packed together these days to face common enemies. Gen Saprang Kalayanamitr, CNS deputy secretary general, will probably succeed Sonthi with support from his colleague Gen Anupong Paochinda, Assistant army chief. He will be the next in line He should be patient with at least three more years to go. But there could be some surprises. Sonthi could have other names in mind. Whoever succeeds him must have the palace's support.

 

   




 
 
Other Comment

Philip Lau  04/04/2007 20:37  IP: 165.21.83.230

1. Thailand, the Military is running, many told me, if this continue to run, may one day become a Banana Republic like what is happening in many other countries you can see yourselves. I do not believe to be so, as the situation although very chaotic and disturbing, it is very unlikely will become a Banana Republic. The Thai Army attempted to kill Thaksin and his family. The guilty ones some top ones are charged in Court. THE WHOLE WORLD KNOWS THAT THE COUP AND MILITARY CHIEF COVER THIS UP. Remember, Thailand being one of the MOST CORRUPTED country as reported in the press, would order the Court to let them off without doubt if ever there is a trial. 2. If that is the case, Asean members will become very sorry. What can they do?. Nothing, as their policy is NON INTERFERENCE in another's internal affairs in which China has been sticking to this priciple for decades. You can murder and cut each other throats, China does not care in view of the principle. China for diiplomany sake, work with the devils and the most corrupted in view of their politics. 3. No! the Western countries like US and EU will criticise like what they did to the pariah country Burma. USA will send in their Military forces if it is their own own interests, like Iraq, etc. Their warships are all over the world and the Terrorist NO. 1 Bush will not hesitate to invade, kill, plunder the country's wealth. This fact is well known through out the world, even some of the Americans who had written countless of books.. 4. The present Thai leaders the especially the PM and the Army and Coup Leader are in serious conflict as the Coup Chief recently stated that he can remove the present PM if he wants to do it likewise he did to the twice Popular elected Prime Minister, Thaksin. The Thai Coup Leader could not care the less what happen to his country, although he professed that he loves Thailand. A Mockery! Now his wife has been accused by the layer of Thaksin that she took bribes at least FIVE times. Of course he and his subordinates will deny them and cover their backsides failing they themselves would be killed. That is Thailand! very sorry to say. 5. As a rule the Thai people are unable to do much unless there is a well organised revolution. The Thai Coup leader has all the military AT THE MOMENT under him and he could kill all the revolutionaries if he wants it to be so. I disagree that the pen is mightier than the sword. It is the other way round. One machine gun can control 5,000 people and he can kill all of them like what occured in some other countries you read in the press now and then. Will it occur in Thailand? It is left to be seen. The King is unable to do anything as everyone knows that it was the Army who removed the King with all his powers in 1932. Is this Military show love for their King?
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Ian  04/04/2007 20:34  IP: 124.121.74.13

Nice to know that there are some hard talking Thais around, I thought they were all sheep.
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Tosakan  04/04/2007 15:28  IP: 125.25.152.242

Wow, I am glad to see that I'm not the only one calling The Nation out on its lousy reporting, its hypocrisy and double-standards. The Nation is a perfect example of Thais doing their own half-assed thing without any type of competition or quality control. In any other place in the world, the entire editorial staff of The Nation would have been fired by the publisher a long time ago. But in Thailand, these jamooks think they are the cat's meow. Yes, they are that deluded. They are so deluded that they don't get that their lack of professionalism and crap standards are the reasons why Thailand is in such a terrible mess. Could you imagine how many problems and crises could be avoided if the Thai media actually did a serious job? If only the publisher had the courage to fire Suthichai, Thepchai, Thanong, Sopon and Tulise and bring in some real talent, then The Nation might have some potential Now, unfortunately, it is nothing but a junta's cheap whore. How many of these horrible columns/blogs/editorials must we suffer through? Don't you columnists get that you have absolutely no moral authority to speak about democracy? And your political analysis has less depth than an illiterate Bangkok taxi driver, who actually is more dependable and less full of his own BS than your typical Nation columnist.
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Fisking yours  04/04/2007 14:45  IP: 58.8.126.122

Duh| "When Gen Surayud Chulanont was approached by the CNS to become Thailand's prime minister seven months ago, he failed to foresee that in the future the CNS would become his nemesis." Any fool could have foreseen this such conflict simply by recalling the experience of Anand under Suchinda's shadow. The power structure following a military putsch makes such conflict inevitable. I don't believe for a moment that Surayud was surprised by the souring of this relationship. Kavi is the one who "failed to foresee that in the future the CNS would become his nemesis. "From that moment on the marriage of convenience between CNS and government has become problematic." duh! again! What about Surayud's statement that the CNS has done little to nothing in quelling separatist conflicts in the Thai south several weeks back? Or Surayud's consistent effort to fend off demands from the CNS to appoint a deputy pm for security? Hey, don't you read your own newspaper? "CNS deputy secretary general, will probably succeed Sonthi with support from his colleague Gen Anupong Paochinda, Assistant army chief. He will be the next in line He should be patient with at least three more years to go. But there could be some surprises." Hey, Kavi, you really go out on your limb on this one. A weatherman is much sharper. At least, he tell you there is a 40% chance of rain tomorrow. Along with "whoever succeeds (Sonthi) must have the palace's support", you think you are telling us something new? You jamooks and junta sycophants at the Nation write blogs and columns without doing any extra work to make them worth reading. A columnist must investigate and dig deeper beyond the news and headlines. Look at your pathetic babblings (based on press releases and tertiary reporting) on ASEAN, Burma's undemocratic bends, and goodness sake even Sri Lanka's separatist war. What a shame!
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