NEWS & ANALYSIS ON MAJOR INCIDENTS

- Unofficial talks may fan the flames of insurgency
- Is Chavalit fostering false hope in the deep South?
- Analysis :Ceasefire in south is just too good to be true
- Pornthip means well, but she misunderstands the south
- Army's abuses come home to roost in South
- Deep south insurgency puts strain on thai-malay relations
- In the South, the media, too, must think outside the box
- Lessons from the southern insurgency not learned
- Insurgents make it clear there is no neutral ground
- BANGKOKIAN: Odd silence on south
- Political rumblings in the deep South
- No progress in checking unrest
- Hope for the southern poor
- Between the Devil and the Deep Blue Sea
- 'Pushing people towards the insurgents'
- Analysis :Premier has wasted opportunity in South
- Crisis in south rooted in ethnic Malay identity
- Bombs 'like those in Bangkok'
- Schools aim to rise from ashes
- Harsh realities mar peace efforts in South
- Scars of Krue Se bloodbath refuse to go away
- Off-the-wall comments, suggestions have not helped
- Anti-terror effort needs closer cooperation: Nitya
- Old separatists still dream of a free patani
- Mahathir: Talk with exiled South leaders
- Military to enforce ban on public gatherings
- Rewards dropped for the arrest of militants - South to get 3,000 more troops after violence escalates
- Pulo alleges targeted killings
- 'Talks vital to restore peace in the South'
- No end in sight to violence in south - PREMIER'S FIRST BORDER TOUR: Surayud apologises for govt's abuses in South
- Government reaches out to the South
- The long road to peace in the deep South
- Just a local affair or prelude to terrorism?
- Insurgency 'has crossed a new threshold'
- South an elusive 'spider's web' for generals
- Southeast Asia the second front of global terror?
- Sonthi makes a needed overture in the South
- Southern blasts clear way for army plans
- Soldier killed by bomb in Narathiwat
- Volunteer shot dead in South
- Force alone won't win battle with insurgents
- Six dead in series of bombings, shootings in Yala, Narathiwat
- South militants number 3,000
- Army chief 'welcome in restive South'
- Push for Sondhi to boost his role
- Bombs, bullets kill 3 on weekend
- Bombings spark a scramble for excuses
- Don't make us your scapegoat: Malaysia
- Lull ends in savage wave of 44 blasts
- Admin body urged for South
- What chance of reconciliation in the South?
- More arrests in teachers' assault case
- Troubled school gets 20 teachers
- Letter from KUCHING REUPAH
- South militancy has been years in making
- More held over brutal beating of 2 teachers
- Army 'must respond quicker'
- 3 arrests over hostage taking
- Hopelessly adrift in the stormy south
- HOSTAGE TAKING: Army's image takes beating
- Juling's vision of peace
- RESTIVE SOUTH: 100 schools to shut for a week





TERROR WARNING: Govt ‘blind to JI link’

Published on March 07, 2005 - Militant group helping unit formed by Afghanistan war vets in South; Bangkok attacks planned, says US expert

A world expert on terrorism in Southeast Asia has warned that the government’s poor understanding of terrorists could help spur violence in the country’s deep South.

He also warned of moves among the terrorists to bring their bombing campaign directly to Bangkok.

Dr Zachary Abuza, associate professor of political science and international relations at Simmons College in Boston, said international terrorist groups, notably Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), based in Indonesia, had been assisting an Islamic militant group in Thailand’s southernmost provinces.

He said this small but radical militant group was known as Gerakan Mujahideen Islam Pattani (GMIP), or the Pattani Islamic Mujahideen Movement. It was formed in the mid-1990s by a group of veterans of the war in Afghanistan, following their victory over the Soviet Union.

Abuza said the activities of the GMIP, which had strong links with JI, had “flared up” in Thailand’s deep South. It was one of several terrorist groups that attended three meetings held by JI between 1999 and 2000 to broaden the regional terrorist network, he said.

“The fact that the GMIP was founded by Afghanistan war veterans is what causes me the most concern,” he said.

Abuza, who has given evidence on terrorism in Southeast Asia to the US House of Representatives’ Committee on International Relations, was speaking to reporters outside a seminar on religion and conflict held in the Philippine capital by the Konrad Adenauer Centre for Journalism.

He said key members of the GMIP group, Che Kumae Kuteh and Nasori Sori Saeseng, or Ae Wae Afghan, were being hunted by Thai authorities.

Abuza went on to say that there was a small network of individuals “from a couple of Islamic boarding schools, or pondok” in the deep South that had connections with the terrorist groups.

Some of the operatives work-ing around the arrested terrorist suspect Nurjaman Riduan Isamuddin, also known as Hambali, had recruited a group

of militants from the South with the aim of bombing Bangkok.

He said JI might not be directly involved in the deep South, but local militants had received the technological assistance from the group.

“If we look at the technological capability involved in the first car bomb [in Sungai Kolok last month], then we know the technology has been transferred,” he said.

“Technologically, these groups do learn from one another and they are able to increase their assaults.”

Abuza said the number of explosions had increased dramatically after the Tak Bai riot in October last year. As a consequence, the number of people killed by bombs had also risen.

He said the militants who posed a threat of escalating the violence in the deep South were not the old actors, as portrayed by the Thai government, with familiar names such as Barisan Revolusi Nasional (BRN) and the Pattani United Liberation Organisation (Pulo).

These organisations had already died out, Abuza said, and such a poor understanding of the character of the active terrorists was the main reason the spate of violence had continued over the past year.

The death toll in the continuing violence in the deep South over the past 14 months stands at more than 600.

Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra recently insisted that international terrorists are not involved in the violence in southern Thailand.

Supalak Ganjanakhundee


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