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MANUFACTURING INDEX

Manufacturing index to rise 11%

The manufacturing production index (MPI) for 2008 is forecast to grow 11 per cent due mainly to strong export growth in signifi¬cant industries, according to the Office of Industrial Economics.



The office registered MPI growth of 10.46 per cent and an expansion of industrial gross domestic product of around 7 to 8 per cent in the first six months. For the whole year, it expects MPI will expand 11 per cent, up from 8.1 per cent last year, and manu¬facturing gross domestic product will surge from 6.6 per cent to 7.1 per cent.

Its directorgeneral Atchaka Sriboonruang Brimble said the positive growth was caused by aggressive export expansion in the electronics, automotive, autoparts and food industries despite higher energy prices and infla¬tion. She explained that while the United States had performed under the subprime crisis better than expected in the first half, the European countries and China had still registered growth rates of 2.2 and 10.6 per cent, respec¬tively.

"We are confident that the industrial sector will keep grow¬ing in the second half of the year due to a trend of lower oil prices and softer inflation, which will stimulate purchasing power in the domestic market and abroad," she said.

The electronics industry boosted production by 33.1 per cent, while exports by this indus¬try were up 9.2 per cent, thanks to high demand in the global mar¬ket.

Despite an increase of 20 per cent in the first half, automotive production is expected to decline in the rest of the year since sales of pickup trucks in the domestic market dropped considerably in the past two months.

Food exports are expected to grow 14.3 per cent in the last six months, against 22.3 per cent in the first half, as a result of the gloomy economic climate in the US.

The products mainly affected are shrimp and canned fruits, while other products - including canned tuna and processed chick¬en - maintain their export growth in other countries.

However, many industries have come under a restructuring process and the export market remains positive as many import¬ing countries still maintain high economic growth rates.

"Thai manufacturers will still need to closely monitor the situ¬ation. They also need plans to cope with rising oil prices and for¬eignexchange rates, while polit¬ical conditions have not sta¬bilised," Atchaka said.


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